Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003432 0.003829 0.004243 0.004705 0.005207 0.005734 0.006328
2024-10-13 0.002913 0.003487 0.004118 0.004859 0.005703 0.006630 0.007721
2024-10-20 0.002446 0.003091 0.003830 0.004730 0.005792 0.006995 0.008455
2024-10-27 0.002150 0.002846 0.003670 0.004706 0.005962 0.007423 0.009239
2024-11-03 0.001892 0.002613 0.003495 0.004635 0.006052 0.007738 0.009876
2024-11-10 0.001704 0.002448 0.003383 0.004622 0.006197 0.008108 0.010575
2024-11-17 0.001532 0.002286 0.003259 0.004579 0.006292 0.008409 0.011185
2024-11-24 0.001443 0.002224 0.003256 0.004685 0.006573 0.008940 0.012087
2024-12-01 0.001284 0.002052 0.003095 0.004570 0.006556 0.009088 0.012503
2024-12-08 0.001180 0.001951 0.003020 0.004563 0.006675 0.009407 0.013136
2024-12-15 0.001144 0.001943 0.003073 0.004730 0.007028 0.010033 0.014177
2024-12-22 0.001080 0.001888 0.003054 0.004793 0.007239 0.010474 0.014983
2024-12-29 0.001039 0.001868 0.003087 0.004933 0.007564 0.011083 0.016031
2025-01-05 0.001006 0.001857 0.003132 0.005091 0.007919 0.011738 0.017157
2025-01-12 0.000899 0.001721 0.002982 0.004958 0.007855 0.011821 0.017510
2025-01-19 0.000829 0.001639 0.002909 0.004932 0.007941 0.012107 0.018142
2025-01-26 0.000755 0.001543 0.002808 0.004858 0.007952 0.012285 0.018625
2025-02-02 0.000700 0.001477 0.002749 0.004845 0.008049 0.012583 0.019276
2025-02-09 0.000644 0.001403 0.002673 0.004800 0.008095 0.012809 0.019826
2025-02-16 0.000622 0.001390 0.002696 0.004911 0.008376 0.013373 0.020861
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.001295 0.002578 0.004791 0.008303 0.013422 0.021166
2025-03-02 0.000521 0.001245 0.002531 0.004784 0.008399 0.013719 0.021825
2025-03-09 0.000516 0.001258 0.002594 0.004957 0.008779 0.014436 0.023099